YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. Please check you have typed it correctly. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Forgot your password? Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. Labour surges to record lead in polls as Truss insists mini-budget did Question asked. Scottish Opinion Polls News | Latest Opinion Polls - NewsNow New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. In response to the Redfield and Wilton poll, Scots Labour peer Lord Foulkes tweeted: "SNP on the slide. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Boris Johnson may have misled Parliament over Partygate, investigating MPs have claimed, Matt Hancocks reaction to his affair with Gina Coladangelo has been revealed in leaked WhatsApp messages, Numerous Russian attacks in eastern Donetsk have been repelled in the past day, Ukraines military has said, The White House has confirmed that Joe Biden had a cancerous skin lesion removed last month, At least 17 people have died in a fire at a fuel depot in Indonesia, Saving Private Ryan actor Tom Sizemore has died aged 61 after a brain aneurysm, Labour were just two points behind the SNP in Scotland before Nicola Sturgeon's shock, Support for Scottish independence at 46% before Nicola Sturgeon resigned poll. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. By clicking 'Create Account and Subscribe' you agree to us creating an account for you and subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. An existing account was found for this email address. Easy-to-digest video clips. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. By the time that the SNP under Alex Salmond had won an outright majority at Holyrood in 2011, support for Scottish independence had started to nudge back up towards 40%. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Boris Johnson Goads Rishi Sunak Over Poor Tory Poll Ratings Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. In all polls the dont knows are removed. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Humza Yousaf 'should be anti-nationalist choice' for First Minister - because he's so useless, The Majority reckons the health secretary will create a 'raging bin fire' for the SNP if he gets the keys to Bute House when the party votes on a new leader, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle 'OK' about leaving Frogmore Cottage following Buckingham Palace's eviction, The couple are said to have accepted that they were privileged to have a house in the US and the UK, Rangers XI v Kilmarnock as Michael Beale starts Nicolas Raskin and Todd Cantwell after Celtic final defeat, New January recruits return to the first team after their shock Hampden omission, Manchester United hero Nicky Butt 'hated' Aberdeen interview process as he admits 'sick' feeling of manager talks, The Old Trafford Class of 92' hero spoke to several suitors including Aberdeen in 2021, SNP blasted for 'dragging their heels' over dangerous cladding programme as they spend less than 1m of 97m funding pot. New YouGov projections suggest Tories could become UK's FOURTH party 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. Yahoo News / YouGov polls . Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Rishi Sunak fails to win back Conservative support in Wales, poll Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. 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Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. Britain Elects. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Labour opens up historic poll lead over Tories after days of market on public opinion. This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Pollster. Poll shows Scottish independence is not just a nationalist cause Scottish independence: yes campaign gets poll boost Labour conference: Party surges in polls as 'clown show' economics Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. All Rights Reserved. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . It was one of the biggest news stories of our. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . @BritainElects. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. But we can't do it without you. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives.